Daiwa Securities economist Kento Minami said the risk of prolonged inflation in
Japan is increasing as crude oil rebounds and firms increasingly pass higher
costs to consumers. He warned the recent sharp rise in crude could feed through
to electricity prices after a roughly 3–8 month lag, potentially beginning in
early 2027. Rising oil, logistics and labour costs are making cost pass-through
more likely and could extend food inflation; food prices excluding fresh produce
rose 2.7% YoY in August.