Fitch has assigned Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) a BBB long‑term issuer default rating for
the first time, with a stable outlook, citing Tesla’s strong position as a
global EV leader and its strategic shift toward a physical AI company. Fitch
says Tesla’s EV operations should remain profitable, but rapid, large-scale AI
investment will likely compress margins, require a sharp rise in capex—forecast
to exceed $25 billion in 2026, more than three times 2025—and could push
mid-term free cash flow (FCF) negative and increase leverage. Most of the
spending will support construction and training of the Cortex 2 AI
supercomputer, which underpins Tesla’s FSD, Robotaxi and Optimus programs.