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中國地震臺網正式測定:09月23日17時21分在阿根廷發生5.3級地震,震源深度120千米。
2026-09-23
中國地震臺網正式測定:09月23日17時21分在阿根廷發生5.3級地震,震源深度120千米。
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2026-09-23
印尼央行行長:我們也希望支持經濟增長,因爲勢頭已經形成。
印尼央行行長:我們也希望支持經濟增長,因爲勢頭已經形成。
2026-09-23
Shenwan Hongyuan research says the core trading range for the 10-year US Treasury yield in H2 is likely 4.5%–5%, with inflation expectations linked to oil prices the dominant short-term driver. In an optimistic case yields could fall toward about 4.3%; in a downside case they could break above 5%. The dollar index is short-term positively correlated with oil during supply shocks—safe-haven flows and relative fundamentals tend to lift the dollar with oil—and would face further upside if a US‑Iran
Shenwan Hongyuan research says the core trading range for the 10-year US Treasury yield in H2 is likely 4.5%–5%, with inflation expectations linked to oil prices the dominant short-term driver. In an optimistic case yields could fall toward about 4.3%; in a downside case they could break above 5%. The dollar index is short-term positively correlated with oil during supply shocks—safe-haven flows and relative fundamentals tend to lift the dollar with oil—and would face further upside if a US‑Iran conflict escalates; after tensions ease the dollar’s core range could revert to 97–103. Dollar trend strength typically accompanies sustained Fed tightening; September’s hike is done, and if future moves are isolated rather than a trend tightening cycle, dollar appreciation risk is more contained. Medium-term, US term premium is likelier to rise than fall as risks shift from cyclical volatility to fiscal sustainability concerns; the Fed faces a threefold challenge of inflation persistence, weak employment, and automatic long-end tightening amid a global savings imbalance. Current US equity valuations are not low; larger or more persistent shocks would inflict greater downside on equity prices.
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