As Japanese markets reopen after a holiday, the yen has fallen for a second
straight week, pushing USD/JPY back toward the closely watched 160 level and
reviving intervention risk. Market participants say 160 is again a test of
Japan’s tolerance for depreciation after the Bank of Japan’s Sept. 18 policy
meeting; the BOJ has accelerated tightening amid internal dissent while US
policy appears to be moving more hawkishly. Commonwealth Bank of Australia
strategist Carol Kong warns that if US yields continue to rise and markets probe
Japan’s resolve, USD/JPY could soon breach 160; a rapid break would materially
increase the likelihood of official action, noting recent reports Japan has run
exchange‑rate checks and there is precedent for coordinated intervention.