German two-year government bond yield fell 5 bps to 3.28%, a session low.

Sources, satellite imagery and shipping data show Saudi Arabia has increased crude flows via its east–west pipeline to Red Sea export hub Yanbu, but tanker loading operations have not resumed. The pipeline, shut earlier this month after a drone attack, was restarted this week; markets had expected supply interrupted by a US–Iran conflict to recover, but shipping recovery has been slow and a planned Tuesday tanker loading did not occur. One industry source said crude is being transported to Red Sea coastal refineries but not reloaded onto tankers; two other sources confirmed tanker loading remains halted.

UBS strategists Shahab Jalinoos and colleagues said latest data show speculative JPY shorts are "completely unwound." With carry-trade conditions still favorable and the US-Japan interest-rate differential remaining wide, investors have scope to rebuild JPY short positions, which could further weaken the yen.