Huatai Securities' A-share strategy sees the market in a consolidation/recovery phase; prior correction has relieved valuation and trading risk, raising the odds of a pre-holiday rebound, but US jobs and PMI releases over the holiday increase event risk. Positioning should favor high earnings visibility and relatively fully digested valuations: within tech, prioritize optical communications, PCB and select domestic compute leaders and cut exposure to earnings-downgrade risk and pure-theme names.

2026-09-28

Huatai Securities' A-share strategy sees the market in a consolidation/recovery phase; prior correction has relieved valuation and trading risk, raising the odds of a pre-holiday rebound, but US jobs and PMI releases over the holiday increase event risk. Positioning should favor high earnings visibility and relatively fully digested valuations: within tech, prioritize optical communications, PCB and select domestic compute leaders and cut exposure to earnings-downgrade risk and pure-theme names. Also consider underallocated chemicals and paper chains where price spreads have improved, and use dividend-yielding assets as portfolio stabilizers. Ahead of the holiday keep fundamentally strong core holdings, trim high-volatility trading positions; stock selection matters more than gross exposure.

其他消息
2026-09-28

1、歷史裏程碑:上週美國5年期國債收益率自2007年以來首次升破5%;同時30年期國債收益率被推高至2004年以來最高水平。債券市場波動率(MOVE指數)急劇擡升——這意味着債市已經不是"溫和上行",而是在劇烈重定價。 2、大摩自己的判斷有分歧:首席美國經濟學家Gapen認爲美聯儲還要再加息兩次(12月和明年3月),終端利率到4.25%—4.50%,比市場目前定價高約100個基點,但要到2027年一季度才轉向;而首席美股策略師Wilson認爲這輪加息是"信譽增強",高政策利率不必然推高長期融資成本,他維持標普500年底8000點目標。 3、股市怎麼扛:上週股票已經跑贏了其對利率的敏感度——也就是說,收益率再上行10個基點,股市暫時扛住了;但這是在"盈利上修廣度接近週期高位"的背景下,一旦油價和利率繼續雙殺,估值(標普遠期P/E已壓縮到19倍)將再承壓。(摩根士丹利9月26日報告)

2026-09-27

On Sept. 26, 2026 at UN headquarters in New York, Chinese Vice President Han Zheng told the 81st UN General Assembly that the international situation is turbulent, with prolonged geopolitical conflicts and widening development gaps. He called for defending the post‑war international order and common security, tackling global development shortfalls via openness and cooperation, promoting intercivilizational dialogue to rebuild trust, and upholding multilateralism and fairness through concrete act