Greece says this year’s budget surplus will exceed prior estimates as it
submitted a fiscal plan to parliament. The government forecasts GDP growth of
2.0% in 2026, accelerating to 2.3% in 2027. The plan projects a 2026 budget
surplus of 0.6% of GDP, up from an earlier 0.3% target, and a 2027 surplus of
0.3% — marking a third consecutive year of surplus. Greece is one of four
European countries expected to post a surplus this year; improved public
finances have pushed Greek borrowing costs below those of France and Italy.
MOODY'S raised Greece’s outlook to positive in September and Scope Ratings
upgraded the sovereign to within one notch of A. The surplus will allow early
repayment of about €13.0 bln of debt, cutting the debt ratio to 136.7% of GDP
this year and to 128.8% by 2027, which would leave Italy with the highest
debt-to-GDP in Europe.