State Street Global Advisors strategists said structural drivers of the gold
bull market remain intact: record government debt levels, strong central-bank
and Chinese retail physical demand, and rising geopolitical and economic
uncertainty. They warned rising rates could further raise debt-servicing costs
in major economies and worsen fiscal imbalances. China’s domestic gold price
premium has surged this year; Jan–Aug consumer gold imports reached a record
1,141 tonnes despite higher prices. Strategists maintained their baseline
forecast that gold will reach $4,750–$5,500/oz by end-Q1 2027.