Fed's Beige reports overall U.S. growth but broadly weak momentum: among 12 Fed
districts, two reported moderate growth, three slight, four modest and three
flat. Manufacturing held up relatively well while consumer spending was little
changed in most districts and, in over half, concentrated among higher-income
households. On inf, three districts reported strong price gains, eight reported
moderate gains and four said price increases accelerated from the prior period.
All districts cited higher oil prices—elevated diesel and fuel surcharges are
transmitting costs through supply chains—while tariffs, insurance and other
commodity prices continue to pressure input costs. Some firms expect further
price increases in coming months as existing contracts expire and hedges or
delivery contracts are renegotiated. Employment was broadly unchanged but
shortages of technical and skilled workers persist; five districts said some
firms have reduced headcount via attrition, delayed hiring or expect fewer new
roles following AI-driven productivity investments. Rising inf and benefits
costs are pushing stronger wage demands. Most firms remain cautiously positive
on the near-term outlook but expect limited growth and ongoing risks from energy
prices, tariffs and other uncertainties.