滬指翻紅，深證成指跌幅收窄至0.23%，創業板指跌幅收窄至1.12%，白酒、銀行板塊領漲。

China International Capital Co says implied rate-cut bets in interest-rate derivatives surged after the October holiday to levels seen before prior PBOC easing. One reason: the rapid fall in government bond yields since late September did not trigger PBOC liquidity tightening. The report judges the PBOC is more likely to ease by shifting the policy-rate anchor—keeping the funding-rate center lower—rather than by blanket cuts to the 7-day reverse repo rate and the LPR. That approach would likely cap further declines in government yields; it probably would not affect outstanding loan rates, though new loan rates could fall modestly. Expectations for next year’s fiscal policy stance remain a key driver of government bond yield direction.

2026年10月16日，WTI（USO）名義敞口估算約2014.80萬桶，期貨持倉較2026年10月15日增加98.50萬桶，10月以來陷入了震盪；Brent（BNO）期貨持倉約704.50萬桶，期貨持倉較2026年10月15日增加5.10萬桶，整體維持10月以來震盪上升趨勢。點擊查看完整持倉數據，捕捉油價之外的資金變化。