Citigroup analyst Jamie Searle says the ECB would prefer not to discuss France
at its upcoming policy meeting but may find the topic unavoidable. The ECB may
remind markets it has conditional backstop tools but is unlikely to encourage
intervention in French markets. French bond volatility is expected to dominate
Lagarde’s Thursday press conference after weeks of heavy selling as markets
doubt the French government can narrow the budget deficit to 5% of GDP by 2027,
particularly following recent violent protests.