EFG Bank analyst Stefan Grach said in a report that elevated euro-area government bond yields have raised borrowing costs, weighing on activity and damping inflation, which reduces the case for ECB rate hikes. He added that political turmoil in France is hurting business activity and suppressing consumer demand. Grach said the ECB must assess whether the lagged pass-through from higher energy prices will keep inflation elevated or whether tighter borrowing costs will offset those pressures.

2026-10-29

EFG Bank analyst Stefan Grach said in a report that elevated euro-area government bond yields have raised borrowing costs, weighing on activity and damping inflation, which reduces the case for ECB rate hikes. He added that political turmoil in France is hurting business activity and suppressing consumer demand. Grach said the ECB must assess whether the lagged pass-through from higher energy prices will keep inflation elevated or whether tighter borrowing costs will offset those pressures.