Final pre-midterm NYT/Siena poll shows Democrats leading in nearly all seven swing states that will decide control of the U.S. Senate. Democrats hold sizable leads in Texas and Kansas — states that have not elected a Democratic senator since 1988 and 1932, respectively. To secure a Senate majority Democrats must retain all current seats and flip at least four Republican-held seats; the poll finds Democratic candidates leading in five of those Republican-held states and essentially tied in a sixt

2026-11-02

Final pre-midterm NYT/Siena poll shows Democrats leading in nearly all seven swing states that will decide control of the U.S. Senate. Democrats hold sizable leads in Texas and Kansas — states that have not elected a Democratic senator since 1988 and 1932, respectively. To secure a Senate majority Democrats must retain all current seats and flip at least four Republican-held seats; the poll finds Democratic candidates leading in five of those Republican-held states and essentially tied in a sixth. Specifically, Democrats lead in Kansas, Maine, Ohio and Texas, hold a narrow lead in Alaska and are level with Republicans in Iowa.