Statistics Indonesia reported Q3 GDP +5.47% YoY, above the median market forecast of 5.2% and up from Q2’s 5.29%. Growth held up despite market volatility and political risk; domestic demand remains the main engine as the $1.5 tln economy has not materially participated in the regional AI growth wave. Regional peers: Malaysia and Singapore grew 5.3% and 5.4% respectively; Vietnam near 10%. The government continued social transfers and fuel subsidies to cushion consumers from higher energy prices

2026-11-05

Statistics Indonesia reported Q3 GDP +5.47% YoY, above the median market forecast of 5.2% and up from Q2’s 5.29%. Growth held up despite market volatility and political risk; domestic demand remains the main engine as the $1.5 tln economy has not materially participated in the regional AI growth wave. Regional peers: Malaysia and Singapore grew 5.3% and 5.4% respectively; Vietnam near 10%. The government continued social transfers and fuel subsidies to cushion consumers from higher energy prices, while Bank Indonesia left policy rates unchanged and injected capital into state-owned banks to encourage lending, notably to small firms. Strong palm oil and nickel exports helped Indonesia post a trade surplus for the second consecutive quarter.