Majority of institutions project US October unemployment at 4.2%; cross-sectional range 4.1–4.3%. Reuters consensus 4.2% (prior 4.2%). Key 4.1% calls from BNP Paribas, JP Morgan, Nomura, UBS, Barclays, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Danske Bank and High Frequency Economics. Large group of global banks — including Morgan Stanley, BofA/Merrill, Citi, Goldman, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, ING, ANZ, Jefferies, TD Securities, Wells Fargo and Standard Chartered — sit at 4.2%. Mizuho and Westpac forecast 4.3%.

2026-11-06

Majority of institutions project US October unemployment at 4.2%; cross-sectional range 4.1–4.3%. Reuters consensus 4.2% (prior 4.2%). Key 4.1% calls from BNP Paribas, JP Morgan, Nomura, UBS, Barclays, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Danske Bank and High Frequency Economics. Large group of global banks — including Morgan Stanley, BofA/Merrill, Citi, Goldman, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, ING, ANZ, Jefferies, TD Securities, Wells Fargo and Standard Chartered — sit at 4.2%. Mizuho and Westpac forecast 4.3%.