1. Danske Bank: Expects rates to remain unchanged. Unless there are major macroeconomic surprises, a pause in rate cuts this month is a foregone conclusion.
2. DBS Bank: Expects rates to remain unchanged. Job growth may have slowed, but the unemployment rate remains low, and real wages are rising.
3. Bank of Montreal: Expects rates to remain unchanged. The policy statement will likely send a hawkish signal. There is no urgency for the Fed to take any policy action.
4. Russell Investments: Expects rates to remain unchanged. Given recent data showing continued stronger-than-expected US economic growth and a stable labor market, holding rates steady in January is a certainty.
5. ING: Expects rates to remain unchanged. After three rounds of rate cuts totaling 75 basis points, strong growth, low unemployment, US stocks near record highs, and still-exceeding inflation all provide sufficient reasons for a pause.
6. Nuveen: Expects rates to remain unchanged. Considering the implementation of policies in the coming quarters, such as new tax cuts and the fiscal impact of previous Fed rate cuts on the economy, pausing rate cuts is very reasonable.
7. First U.S. Financial: Expects rates to remain unchanged. The December rate cut vote was "relatively close," with six Fed officials favoring keeping rates unchanged, indicating that "the threshold for further easing is higher."
8. ANZ: Expects rates to remain unchanged. Although inflationary pressures are easing and the labor market is on a cooling trajectory, data since the last meeting has not deteriorated to the point where further policy easing in January would be warranted.
9. Reuters poll: All 100 economists surveyed expect rates to remain unchanged. 55 of the 100 expect rate cuts to resume in June or later.
