[High Probability of A-Shares Rising After the Holiday] Trading in A-shares will resume on February 24th, coinciding with the Year of the Horse. According to Wind data, in the past ten years, the probability of the Shanghai Composite Index and the Ch

2026-02-23

[High Probability of A-Shares Rising After the Holiday] Trading in A-shares will resume on February 24th, coinciding with the Year of the Horse. According to Wind data, in the past ten years, the probability of the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index rising on the first trading day after the Spring Festival holiday has reached 60%. Open Source Securities' review of post-Spring Festival market patterns reveals that the probability of market gains gradually increases within 5, 10, and 20 trading days after the holiday, with the market showing a gradual recovery. In terms of style, small and mid-cap stocks outperform large-cap stocks, while growth stocks dominate, indicating a market focused on outperformance. The CSI 2000 index has a relatively high probability of both gains and increases. In terms of sectors, technology and cyclical sectors are relatively more advantageous.