According to the prediction website Kalshi, the actual probability of the Strait of Hormuz being "closed" has surged to 65%. This comes after an advisor to the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed that the Strait of Hormuz was a

2026-03-03

According to the prediction website Kalshi, the actual probability of the Strait of Hormuz being "closed" has surged to 65%. This comes after an advisor to the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed that the Strait of Hormuz was already closed.