US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran warned it would respond forcefully to the ongoing attacks on Lebanon. 2. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reiterated that it has not attacked any country since the ceasefire. 3. Iran: If no agre

2026-04-11

US-Israel-Iran Conflict: ① Iran 1. Iran warned it would respond forcefully to the ongoing attacks on Lebanon. 2. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reiterated that it has not attacked any country since the ceasefire. 3. Iran: If no agreement is reached and fighting resumes, it will damage US and Israeli interests in the Middle East. 4. Iranian parliamentary official: Israeli oil tankers are "absolutely prohibited" from passing through the Strait of Hormuz. 5. A senior Iranian source said that due to Iran's insistence and pressure, the Israeli military was forced to halt its attack on Beirut. 6. Iranian parliament speaker: If the US attempts to use these negotiations for show, Iran is prepared to defend its rights. 7. Iranian armed forces: Due to the repeated breaches of trust by the US and Israel in the past, the armed forces remain on full alert and are ready to open fire at any time. ② United States 1. The US claimed its diplomats were "ambushed" in Iraq on the 8th. 2. US negotiators will demand that Iran release detained US citizens. 3. White House officials said Trump is optimistic about reaching an agreement with Iran. 4. US media: With US-Iran negotiations imminent, the US military continues to increase troop presence in the Middle East in preparation for possible subsequent military action. 5. Trump: Iran has "no other bargaining chips" besides the Strait of Hormuz; the Strait of Hormuz will be open "soon". 6. Trump stated that if no agreement is reached, he will escalate military strikes against Iran; the outcome of talks with Iran will be clear within 24 hours. 7. White House Economic Council Director Hassett: A backup plan for opening the Strait of Hormuz has been developed, and the strait is expected to open within two months. 8. White House officials stated that uncertainty remains within the White House, and Trump currently believes that the Strait of Hormuz is unlikely to reopen in the short term. ③ Israel 1. Israeli airstrikes on a government building in southern Lebanon killed 13 security personnel. 2. Israeli media quoted a senior Israeli official as saying that Hezbollah could be dismantled, but it would take weeks or even months. 3. Israeli media: Israel is prepared for a possible breakdown in US-Iran negotiations and a renewed conflict between the two sides. 4. Israel Defense Forces: Since the start of operations against Hezbollah, more than 200 missile launchers have been dismantled, and hundreds of Hezbollah artillery personnel have been killed. ④ Other Circumstances 1. Spain calls on EU member states to suspend their association agreements with Israel. 2. Britain will convene another international conference to discuss how to allow “free” passage through the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Strait of Hormuz 1. Only four ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours. 2. Iranian officials say the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed for the past two days. 3. Ship operation data shows a Russian oil tanker successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz. 4. An Israeli intelligence official said Iran is charging fees to ships allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. 5. Shipping intelligence company Kpler: On April 9, the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz increased to nine, up from five the previous day, but still far below the level of broader normalization. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Lebanese Presidential Palace: Lebanon and Israel agreed to discuss a ceasefire in the US on the 14th. 2. The Israeli ambassador to the US stated that he had not agreed to discuss a ceasefire with Hezbollah. 3. Pakistan confirmed that US-Iran talks were held on the 11th at the Serena Hotel in Islamabad. 4. US Vice President Vance has departed for Pakistan, expecting positive progress in talks with Iran. 5. The Iranian negotiating delegation, led by Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Parliament Ghalibaf, has arrived at the Serena Hotel. 6. With negotiations imminent, the Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Parliament put forward two conditions: a ceasefire in Lebanon and the unfreezing of frozen Iranian assets.