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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that global economic growth will fall to 2.5% in 2026 under two adverse scenarios: “escalating long-term conflicts” and “an average oil price of $100 per barrel in 2026”.

2026-04-14

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that global economic growth will fall to 2.5% in 2026 under two adverse scenarios: “escalating long-term conflicts” and “an average oil price of $100 per barrel in 2026”.

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2026-04-14

ECB Governing Council member Rehn: Monetary policy should not be based on single prices such as oil, but should focus on the overall economic situation.

ECB Governing Council member Rehn: Monetary policy should not be based on single prices such as oil, but should focus on the overall economic situation.
2026-04-14

The Chinese yuan is relatively insulated from Middle East developments due to China’s modest energy import burden, according to RBC Capital Markets’ Abbas Keshvani. He estimates net oil and gas imports at about 1.7% of GDP, while safe-haven demand fo

The Chinese yuan is relatively insulated from Middle East developments due to China’s modest energy import burden, according to RBC Capital Markets’ Abbas Keshvani. He estimates net oil and gas imports at about 1.7% of GDP, while safe-haven demand for Chinese government bonds—supported by low inflation and accommodation policy—has kept yields anchored near 1.8%. RBC forecasts USD/CNY at 6.82 in 2Q, 6.80 in 3Q, and 6.78 in 4Q. The dollar was Last at 6.8207 yuan, down 0.1%.
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