U.S. intelligence agencies are assessing how Iran would react if Donald Trump
declares a unilateral victory in the ongoing war, according to officials. Early
assessments suggest Tehran may view a U.S. drawdown as a win, while a continued
troop presence could be seen as a negotiating tactic.
Officials say large-scale escalation, such as a ground invasion, is now less
likely, though military options remain. The conflict has become a domestic
political burden, with polling showing low public support. Ongoing tensions in
the Strait of Hormuz continue to disrupt oil flows and sustain pressure on
energy prices.
