Energy
1. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: Gasoline prices in Japan remained the lowest among the G7 countries this week.
2. Egyptian Ministry of Oil: A natural gas field with approximately 330 billion cubic feet has been discovered in the western desert.
3. Saudi Arabia's oil export revenue in March increased by 37.4% year-on-year to $24.7 billion, the highest since October 2022.
4. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves: We are prepared to act if energy market conditions deteriorate later this year.
5. Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC): Full navigation in the Strait of Hormuz will not resume until the first half of 2027.
6. HSBC: Maintains its 2026 TTF price forecast at $16 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), $12 in 2027, and $9 in 2028.
7. Sources: Despite the disruption to navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, OPEC+ still plans to raise its July oil production target by approximately 188,000 barrels per day. 8. Indian government officials: Some major diesel buyers are sourcing from state-owned retail gas stations. Diesel sales have surged by 20%-30% in some areas.
9. India's April crude oil imports fell 4.3% year-on-year to 20.1 million tons, gasoline exports fell 27.5% year-on-year to 9,000 tons, and diesel exports rose 25.6% year-on-year to 1.6 million tons.
10. Barclays: Maintains its 2026 Brent crude oil forecast of $100/barrel, with risks skewed to the upside. Even in the most optimistic scenario, oil inventories are expected to test their lowest levels since 2020.
11. IEA Executive Director Birol: The oil market may enter "danger zone" in July and August. The IEA is prepared to take action to coordinate further releases of strategic petroleum reserves if necessary.
12. UBS: Still believes the risks to crude oil prices are skewed to the upside in the short term. The September Brent crude oil price forecast was raised by $10 to $105 per barrel, and the WTI crude oil price forecast was raised to $97 per barrel.
Precious Metals and Mining
1. Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco): Plans to invest in a 1.2 million-ton-per-year alumina project.
2. Indonesia excludes nickel pig iron and some palm oil derivatives from its centralized export policy.
3. Market news: The newly established Manhattan Uranium Corporation has obtained a drilling permit at Nevada's largest historically producing mine.
4. The President of Belarus signed a law approving cooperation between the Belarusian and Russian governments in the fields of precious metals and gemstones and their products.
Agriculture
1. Governor of the Central Bank of the Philippines: Supply shocks have affected fertilizer and rice prices.
2. Argentine President Milley: Argentina will reduce its wheat export tax from the current 7.5% to 5.5%.
3. President of the Philippines: Significantly increases pork import quotas from 54,210 tons to 204,210 tons and implements lower tariffs.
