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The Bank of Canada: Given the Middle East war, US trade policy, and the potential disruption to business models caused by artificial intelligence, the risk of shocks remains high.

2026-05-28

The Bank of Canada: Given the Middle East war, US trade policy, and the potential disruption to business models caused by artificial intelligence, the risk of shocks remains high.

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2026-05-28

ECB ACCOUNTS: On the consumption side it is still too early to observe second‑round effects; wage negotiations need to take place first for these to materialize.

ECB ACCOUNTS: On the consumption side it is still too early to observe second‑round effects; wage negotiations need to take place first for these to materialize.
2026-05-28

Energy-price surge tied to Iran tensions lift helped U.S. PCE inf as real consumer spending rose 0.1% in April, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Thursday. The PCE price index was up 3.8% YoY, the highest since 2023; core PCE (ex food and energy)

Energy-price surge tied to Iran tensions lift helped U.S. PCE inf as real consumer spending rose 0.1% in April, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Thursday. The PCE price index was up 3.8% YoY, the highest since 2023; core PCE (ex food and energy) rose 3.3% YoY. Separately, Q1 GDP was revised down to a 1.6% annualized pace after cuts to inventory investment and consumer spending, below the prior estimate. These readings could strengthen calls among Fed officials to signal the next move may not be a cut; new Fed chair KEVIN WARSH may need to work to convince colleagues that reining in inf expectations does not necessarily require further rate hikes.
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