CSC Financial says May mostly traded rangebound and strengthened at month-end
amid faster US–Iran de‑escalation, easing imported inflation expectations,
widened monetary policy space and equity market corrections that shifted funds
into bonds. It expects the pace of further bond gains to slow; near term the 10Y
China government bond yield should consolidate around 1.70%, and any further
drop would need fresh supporting information. Watch upcoming May economic
releases—if data continue to weaken the 10Y could test the 1.65%–1.70% range.