UK Prime Minister Starmer said the government has leverage over major tech firms.

Monday — Data: Swiss May consumer confidence; euro-area Apr seasonally adjusted trade balance and IP month-on-month; Canada Apr wholesale sales; US June NY Fed manufacturing index, NAHB housing market index, May industrial production month-on-month; China May total electricity consumption YoY (publication tentative). Market impact: CNY600bn six‑month outright reverse repo matures; ECB President Lagarde speaks; G7 summit opens (to Jun 17). Tuesday — Data/events: China May retail sales and industrial production (industrial value added); BOJ and RBA rate decisions (market watching for a BOJ hike); German/euro ZEW; US ADP payrolls, May housing starts and permits, import PPI. China releases NBS monthly housing price report; BOJ and RBA hold post-decision pressers (Deputy governor Uchida and RBA chair Bullock scheduled). Wednesday — Data: US API/EIA oil inventories, May retail sales, pending home sales, Apr business inventories; UK May CPI and RPI; euro-area May final CPI. Events: IEA monthly oil market report; Lujiazui Forum (Jun 17–18). Thursday — Macro/policy: FOMC decision and SEP, Fed chair Warsh’s first post-meeting press conference (market-moving for US rate-path and dot plot); US initial jobless claims, Philly Fed, Conference Board leading indicators; EIA gas inventory. Europe: SNB and BoE rate decisions and minutes; UK unemployment data; euro-area Apr adjusted current account. China: May share of RMB in global SWIFT payments published. Domestic fuel price adjustment window opens. Note: major domestic exchanges suspend night trading. Friday — Data/market structure: US Baker Hughes rig count to Jun 19; Japan May core CPI; Germany May PPI; UK public borrowing and retail sales; Canada Apr retail sales. Market hours: NYSE, HKEX and Taiwan exchanges closed; CME and ICE to close select futures early (Beijing time Jun 20: CME metals/energy/FX/index/Treasury futures end 01:00; ICE Brent ends 01:30); mainland equity and domestic futures markets closed.

Iranian media reported on the 15th that a source said Washington offered fresh concessions to Iran after Israel struck Lebanon on the 14th to advance a ceasefire memorandum. The source said Iran had been preparing a large-scale retaliatory strike on Israel and talks nearly collapsed, but U.S. intervention by President Trump led Washington to propose concessions aimed at preventing an Iranian attack. Iran ultimately judged the agreement to align with its national interest and that of the Lebanese people. The source said the memorandum’s final-stage key amendments were: replacing a planned 30-day phased lifting of a maritime blockade on Iran with an immediate lift, and explicitly extending the ceasefire to all fronts including Lebanon while adding language affirming respect for Lebanese sovereignty and territorial integrity.