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Goldman Sachs said industry feedback points to accelerating aluminum supply growth, driven by strong margins domestically and abroad, and now expects Chinese capacity to exceed 48.0 mln t by end-2026. The bank forecasts SHFE spreads to narrow from RM

2026-06-16

Goldman Sachs said industry feedback points to accelerating aluminum supply growth, driven by strong margins domestically and abroad, and now expects Chinese capacity to exceed 48.0 mln t by end-2026. The bank forecasts SHFE spreads to narrow from RMB8,879/ton in 1H26 to RMB4,250/ton in 2027, which it says would cut recurring 2027 profits for Aluminum Corp of China (02600.HK) and China Hongqiao (01378.HK) by about 50% and 40%, respectively. Goldman downgraded Aluminum Corp of China to Sell and trimmed its 12‑month PT to HK$7.5; it kept China Hongqiao at Neutral and lowered its PT to HK$26.

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Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida: The pace of Japanese government bond purchases may change depending on whether market participants can take over from the Bank of Japan as the main buyer.

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida: The pace of Japanese government bond purchases may change depending on whether market participants can take over from the Bank of Japan as the main buyer.
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