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Morgan Stanley: (Regarding the oil market) We expect the oil market to return to a supply surplus in 2027, with inventories expected to increase by 2.4 million barrels per day.

2026-06-16

Morgan Stanley: (Regarding the oil market) We expect the oil market to return to a supply surplus in 2027, with inventories expected to increase by 2.4 million barrels per day.

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2026-06-16

FOREX.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada says large speculative yen short positions raise the risk of a technical rebound as traders take profits, citing the latest CFTC positioning report showing speculative shorts at fresh extremes. He adds the prospect o

FOREX.com analyst Fawad Razaqzada says large speculative yen short positions raise the risk of a technical rebound as traders take profits, citing the latest CFTC positioning report showing speculative shorts at fresh extremes. He adds the prospect of Japanese authorities intervening in FX markets has increased, and such intervention could be more effective now given a more hawkish Bank of Japan stance and falling oil prices.
2026-06-15

Capital Economics analyst Jason Tuvey says that despite a US‑Iran peace agreement, Gulf output faces its deepest contraction since the early 1980s. He forecasts Gulf GDP will fall about 5–6% in 2026, with Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain the worst affected.

Capital Economics analyst Jason Tuvey says that despite a US‑Iran peace agreement, Gulf output faces its deepest contraction since the early 1980s. He forecasts Gulf GDP will fall about 5–6% in 2026, with Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain the worst affected. Energy supply normalization may stretch into 2027. Economic diversification will be harder and geopolitical alignments could be reshaped. Tuvey warns Gulf states may be incentivised to raise oil production, which could push prices toward about $50/bbl, and that the conflict’s end will still leave lasting economic effects.
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