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Trump says he is working in parallel with Gulf states.

2026-06-18

Trump says he is working in parallel with Gulf states.

Other News
2026-06-17

UBS: Insufficient clarity on Woshe’s policy stance and reaction function; either a hawkish or dovish tilt could create market pricing risk. ANZ: Woshe appears intent on reforms; the press conference may outline reform ideas, with fuller detail likely

UBS: Insufficient clarity on Woshe’s policy stance and reaction function; either a hawkish or dovish tilt could create market pricing risk. ANZ: Woshe appears intent on reforms; the press conference may outline reform ideas, with fuller detail likely at the Jackson Hole opening speech in August. BofA: Expects a dovish tone — Woshe may argue the Iran conflict only causes a one-off effect on price levels and should be ‘ignored’ by the Fed, especially after reports of potential resolutions. Capital Economics: Markets risk a more hawkish-than-expected delivery, whether from communication error or because of his current stance is less dovish than when courting Trump’s nomination. Yale: Warns that overreliance on soft arguments like an ‘AI disinflation’ thesis while sidelining hard data risks repeating a ‘transitory inflation’ mistake. Nordea: Expects a neutral-to-slightly-hawkish posture to build credibility; any communication shift would be signaling rather than immediate policy action. BNY Mellon: Woshe has criticized forward guidance and may use the press conference — or limit future appearances — to signal changes to Fed communication under his tenure. MFS: Given his views on tech-driven productivity, dovish comments are possible but unlikely, since they would undermine a hawkish image.
2026-06-18

TIMIRAOS on the Fed decision: the dot plot shows a clear hawkish tilt — 9 of 18 officials expect at least one hike this year, six expect multiple hikes and only one expects cuts. One participant (likely Fed chair KEVIN WARSH) did not submit an SEP. T

TIMIRAOS on the Fed decision: the dot plot shows a clear hawkish tilt — 9 of 18 officials expect at least one hike this year, six expect multiple hikes and only one expects cuts. One participant (likely Fed chair KEVIN WARSH) did not submit an SEP. The policy statement was rewritten end-to-end and notably shortened. Communication framework has shifted materially, which could prompt markets to reprice the interest-rate path.
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