Previous AHE YoY +3.4%; Refinitiv consensus 3.5%. Most institutions forecast June AHE YoY +3.5%; notable deviations: Sparta Securities +3.3 (low), Citigroup, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, NatWest and Standard Chartered +3.4 (below consensus), Jefferies

2026-07-02

Previous AHE YoY +3.4%; Refinitiv consensus 3.5%. Most institutions forecast June AHE YoY +3.5%; notable deviations: Sparta Securities +3.3 (low), Citigroup, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, NatWest and Standard Chartered +3.4 (below consensus), Jefferies +3.6 (high). Previous AHE MoM +0.3%; Refinitiv 0.3%. Several major banks — Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley — see MoM at +0.2%; the bulk of forecasters expect +0.3%; Mizuho projects +0.4%.