US nonfarm payrolls rose 57,000 while the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, producing a contradictory print. The 4.2% jobless rate undershot consensus (4.3%) and the five-bank Wall Street consensus; payrolls ended a three-month run of 100k+ gains, sat

2026-07-02

US nonfarm payrolls rose 57,000 while the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, producing a contradictory print. The 4.2% jobless rate undershot consensus (4.3%) and the five-bank Wall Street consensus; payrolls ended a three-month run of 100k+ gains, sat closer to Citigroup’s 25,000 estimate and were below mainstream banks’ 90,000–130,000 forecasts.