US Dollar:
1. Trump: Warsh has a somewhat hostile council that will continue to push for the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook by "winning the case." US GDP growth should be between 12% and 13%.
2. US seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls increased by 57,000 in June, lower than the market expectation of 110,000. The combined increase in non-farm payrolls for April and May was revised down by 74,000.
3. The US unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in June, the lowest level since June 2025, lower than the market expectation of 4.3%.
4. White House National Economic Council Director Hassett: Fed Chairman Warsh will watch the data and then do what he thinks is right.
5. Fed's Daly: Although inflation is above target, there are no signs of insufficient economic resilience. This is also a good sign for the US economy.
6. Fed's Daly: Fed policy remains slightly tight.
7. US Democratic Senator Warren demanded that Federal Reserve Governor Waller halt his efforts to comprehensively reform the operations of the Fed's 12 regional branches.
8. Investment Company Institute (ICI): Data shows that US money market fund assets reached a record $7.95 trillion.
Euro:
1. Documents show that the German coalition government plans to provide €10 billion in tax breaks annually. Funding for German tax reform will primarily come from adjustments to the wealth tax.
2. German Chancellor Merz: Will propose simplification of tax laws this fall.
3. European Central Bank President Lagarde: The June rate hike was the right decision; supply shocks are still being transmitted.
4. European Central Bank President Lagarde hinted at a possible candidacy for the French presidential election.
Pound Sterling:
1. Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Mann: Prepared to raise interest rates if price pressures persist.
2. According to The Times: The Bank of England will limit the amount of debt hedge funds can use to purchase UK government bonds.
Yen:
1. Japanese Finance Minister Katayama Satsuki reiterated that the government will react appropriately to the yen's exchange rate. Other:
1. Weak inflation confirms Swiss National Bank's decision to keep rates unchanged for the year, freezing the Swiss franc's rebound.
2. Market news: The Danish central bank intervened in the foreign exchange market last month, buying 700 million Danish kroner.
3. Reuters poll: All 14 economists expect the Bank of Israel to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
4. Russian Central Bank Governor Nabiullina: (Regarding the fuel shortage) We believe this will be temporary. We will discuss this at the committee meeting in July.
5. Brazilian Planning Minister: Brazil will achieve its fiscal targets by 2026 without additional measures.
6. Thai National Shipping Association: The Thai baht should weaken to boost exports.
