The framework agreement signed by the US, Israel, and Lebanon has not truly resolved the Lebanese conflict, but merely bought time for all parties to adjust their strategies. Because Hezbollah refuses to disarm, and Israel insists on "no withdrawal without disarmament," the ceasefire remains fragile. Of particular concern is Israel's renewed strategic focus on Syria. Recently, Israeli forces shelled Syria's Daraa province and intensified military operations near the Golan Heights. This indicates that Israel is building a security buffer zone extending from southern Lebanon to southern Syria, using its expanded military presence to exert sustained pressure on Iran and its supported armed forces, and adhering to a "preemptive strike" strategy. Syria has gradually become a new front for Israel to contain Iran. In the future, even if the situation in Lebanon temporarily de-escalates, regional power struggles may still shift towards Syria, making it the focus of the next round of conflict escalation.
