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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: We still have some work to do on inflation.

2026-07-14

Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: We still have some work to do on inflation.

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2026-07-14

[Futures Hot Topics Tracking] Extreme El Niño is accelerating its approach! Brazil's soybean planting window is approaching, and India's cotton is facing planting difficulties. Who will benefit from the new round of weather-related speculation? Click

[Futures Hot Topics Tracking] Extreme El Niño is accelerating its approach! Brazil's soybean planting window is approaching, and India's cotton is facing planting difficulties. Who will benefit from the new round of weather-related speculation? Click to learn more.
2026-07-14

Goldman analysts say earnings growth is likely to remain the main driver of US equities even as a more hawkish Fed raises downside risk. Goldman expects the Fed to keep rates on hold this year but assigns a 25% probability of a rate hike. A Fed resum

Goldman analysts say earnings growth is likely to remain the main driver of US equities even as a more hawkish Fed raises downside risk. Goldman expects the Fed to keep rates on hold this year but assigns a 25% probability of a rate hike. A Fed resumption of hikes would affect equities via three channels: higher rates weakening the growth outlook — and historical growth has mattered more for equity performance than rates themselves; the current AI-led investment cycle is unusually capital‑intensive, making firms more sensitive to higher financing costs; and past tightening cycles have coincided with weak equity returns. Goldman adds: "Whether or not the Fed hikes, uncertainty about the Fed's policy path will raise rate volatility risk and constitute a headwind for equities."
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