Analyst Navellier believes that the short-term performance of currently popular tech stocks is no longer entirely determined by earnings and fundamentals; a large number of short-term options are also influencing stock prices.
Options were originally just tools for betting on stock price movements, but with the expansion of short-term options, the buying and selling operations of market makers to control risk can become a significant force driving or suppressing stock prices. For example, when market makers sell a large number of call options on stocks like Nvidia, if the stock price rises rapidly and breaks through the strike price, the market makers may face greater hedging and payout pressure. Therefore, in his view, relevant institutions will use algorithms and hedging transactions to suppress stock price increases, allowing prices to return to their recent average range after a surge—this is known as "mean reversion."
This means that even if a company's earnings remain strong, the stock price may experience a surge followed by a pullback or consolidation at high levels in the short term. Especially outside of earnings season, when new earnings data is lacking to provide market direction, the impact of zero-dated options, option expiration, and algorithmic trading on intraday price movements may be more pronounced.
(It should be noted that this is Navellier's explanation of market structure and does not necessarily mean that concentrated options will suppress stock prices.)
