Michael Wan, senior FX analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, wrote in a research note that a resolution to the Middle East conflict still appears plausible, signs citing of ongoing behind-the-scenes and mediator-led talks. With US midterms appro

2026-07-21

Michael Wan, senior FX analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, wrote in a research note that a resolution to the Middle East conflict still appears plausible, signs citing of ongoing behind-the-scenes and mediator-led talks. With US midterms approaching and reported US military ammunition shortages, oil may not return to the initial conflict highs; if that assumption holds, oil-sensitive Asian currencies such as the Indian rupee and Philippine peso have room to outperform from here.