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Reuters survey: 86% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate to 1.25% by end-Q4; June survey showed 79% forecasting that outcome.

2026-07-23

Reuters survey: 86% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate to 1.25% by end-Q4; June survey showed 79% forecasting that outcome.

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2026-07-23

A Refinitiv survey shows most economists expect the Bank of Japan to lift rates again before year-end, with some penciling an October move and continued tightening through next year. 86% forecast a 25bp hike to 1.25% by end-Q4, up from 79% in June. R

A Refinitiv survey shows most economists expect the Bank of Japan to lift rates again before year-end, with some penciling an October move and continued tightening through next year. 86% forecast a 25bp hike to 1.25% by end-Q4, up from 79% in June. Respondents said the BOJ faces a trade-off: maintaining low rates risks stoking inflation via a weaker yen, while faster tightening would raise debt-servicing costs and weigh on a fragile recovery. Rising price pressure and yen weakness have pushed the BOJ toward a more cautious, roughly semiannual hiking cadence; Meiji Yasuda Research Institute senior economist Kazutaka Maeda said the pace could accelerate and he expects an October hike. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has voiced caution on raising rates.
2026-07-23

US President Trump said the United States does not need the Strait of Hormuz and that Venezuela is cooperating with the US to produce oil.

US President Trump said the United States does not need the Strait of Hormuz and that Venezuela is cooperating with the US to produce oil.
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