Key market themes: Fed-led “super central bank week” with a pivotal FOMC
decision and Fed Chair KEVIN WARSH press conference, June core PCE and US GDP
data, heavy US tech earnings, weekly US oil inventories and an OPEC+ meeting.
Monday — German IFO, UK CBI retail, US durable goods (Jun MoM) and Dallas Fed
business index. Tuesday — US ADP payrolls (week to Jul 11), FHFA house prices
(May MoM), S&P/Case‑Shiller 20‑city YoY (May), Conference Board consumer
confidence (Jul) and RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA Governor BULLOCK speaks.
Wednesday — API crude stocks (week to Jul 24); EIA crude, Cushing and SPR weekly
stocks; Australia unadj CPI (Jun YoY); Swiss ZEW; UK mortgage approvals; SK
Hynix Q2 results. Thursday — FOMC rate decision and Chair KEVIN WARSH press
conference; BOE rate decision, minutes, monetary policy report and Governor
BAILEY press conference; BOC minutes; US advance Q2 GDP (annualized), Q2 core
PCE (annualized preliminary), Jun core PCE (MoM/Yr), personal spending (Jun
MoM), initial jobless claims; Eurozone and major European GDP preliminaries and
sentiment indicators; Germany Jul CPI prelim; EIA weekly gas stocks; Meta,
Microsoft, Qualcomm and ARM report Q2 after US close. Friday — Japan
unemployment (Jun); China Jul official manufacturing PMI; UK Nationwide house
prices; Eurozone Jul CPI prelim (YoY/MoM); France CPI prelim (Jul MoM); Germany
unemployment data; Canada May GDP; US Q2 unit labor costs, Chicago PMI (Jul),
U. of Michigan final confidence and 1‑yr inflation expectation (Jul); BANK OF
JAPAN rate decision and Governor UEDA press conference; China opens new domestic
refined‑fuel price adjustment window; Amazon and Apple report after US close.
Saturday — US rotary/drill rig count (week to Jul 31). Sunday — OPEC+ monthly
ministerial meeting.
