Internationally
1. Bank of America: A Fed rate hike in July would be unprecedented.
2. Standard Chartered: The Fed has no "urgent need" to raise rates.
3. TD Securities: The dollar may fall if the Fed keeps rates unchanged.
4. Mitsubishi UFJ: The dollar is expected to be supported if the Fed maintains a "tight" rate policy.
5. BNP Paribas: The Fed's statement is expected to reflect its willingness to act if necessary.
6. Morgan Stanley: The recent AI sell-off was mainly due to technical factors and profit-taking.
7. D.A. Davidson: The Fed's July rate hike window is open; delaying it to September may face political criticism.
8. Wells Fargo: The Fed's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged, but Warsh's communication style will bring greater market volatility.
9. BNP Paribas: Volatility in the South Korean stock market complicates the fundamental situation.
10. Goldman Sachs remains bullish on Japanese AI sector: The recent plunge presents a buying opportunity.
11. Reuters survey: Analysts lowered their gold price forecasts for the first time since the end of 2023, but expect central bank buying to ease the decline.
12. Commonwealth Bank of Australia: Expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, with one or two dissenting opinions.
Domestic:
1. Huatai Macro: The probability of a Fed rate hike in July is slightly above 50%.
2. CITIC Securities: AI drives capital expenditure in the semiconductor industry, ushering in a new growth cycle for equipment.
3. CITIC Securities: 800VDC will become a key catalyst for power supply architecture iteration.
4. CITIC Securities: Weak expectations, strong reality; lithium prices are expected to maintain a rebound.
5. CITIC Securities: Optimistic about the mass production and application prospects of Tesla robots.
6. CITIC Securities: The bottom of expectations for the wind power industry has been solidified, and the performance bottom is expected to become clearer as the 2027 interim reports are released.
7. Galaxy Securities: Institutional investors significantly reduced their holdings, with non-ferrous metals sector fund holdings falling to recent lows.
8. Huatai Securities: We remain optimistic about high-growth sectors such as fiberglass and cleanrooms in the medium to long term.
