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The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, but dissent grew: Logan, Hamak and Kashkari voted against the decision, each favoring a 25bp hike. The committee’s post-meeting statement was otherwise identical to June and re

2026-07-30

The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged for a fifth consecutive meeting, but dissent grew: Logan, Hamak and Kashkari voted against the decision, each favoring a 25bp hike. The committee’s post-meeting statement was otherwise identical to June and reiterated its commitment to achieving price stability. The dissents increase the challenge for new Fed chair Kevin Warsh to remain on hold if inflation concerns intensify. President Trump has repeatedly called for rate cuts, including on Monday; Warsh, nominated by Trump earlier this year, said he would insulate policy decisions from political influence.

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2026-07-30

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Fed holds rates with a hawkish tilt, US Treasury yields and the dollar should be supported. COMMERZBANK: Cut year-end gold and silver forecasts to $4,500/oz and $67/oz, citing persistent inflation that keeps the Fed biased to t

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Fed holds rates with a hawkish tilt, US Treasury yields and the dollar should be supported. COMMERZBANK: Cut year-end gold and silver forecasts to $4,500/oz and $67/oz, citing persistent inflation that keeps the Fed biased to tightening. TD Securities: A unanimous decision would be surprising and would imply Waller has consolidated internal consensus, risking a sharp dollar sell-off. SIA Wealth Management: No major Fed adjustment expected before September; expect gold to trade rangebound into autumn and, in an extreme scenario, into early 2027. Saxo Bank: A Fed rate hike would likely lift the forward rates curve further unless markets interpret it as a defensive move. Goldman Sachs: Even if the Fed holds rates all year, downside pressure on the dollar is limited; EUR/USD remains structurally pressured. ING: If US yields remain subdued, gold should find support around current levels, though any hawkish Fed surprise could limit near-term upside. DBS Group: Even minor tweaks to the statement or press conference wording could materially drive short-end rate volatility. HSBC: Unless the Fed delivers an unexpected hike, this week's decision is unlikely to provide a fresh catalyst for dollar gains. Sumitomo Mitsui: The Fed decision and Waller's press conference could push USD/JPY toward the 164 level.
2026-07-29

Yemen's Houthi movement said early today it shot down a Saudi reconnaissance drone over Saada province. Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said the "Karayel" model drone was struck while carrying out hostile action in Saada airspace and said the g

Yemen's Houthi movement said early today it shot down a Saudi reconnaissance drone over Saada province. Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said the "Karayel" model drone was struck while carrying out hostile action in Saada airspace and said the group "will continue to protect national sovereignty" and "has the right to respond to any acts of aggression."
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