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Capital Economics has dropped its call for an RBA rate hike next month after this week’s Q2 CPI was mild enough for the Reserve Bank of Australia to regard policy as sufficiently tight, economist Abhijit Surya said. Surya warned the disinflation path

2026-07-31

Capital Economics has dropped its call for an RBA rate hike next month after this week’s Q2 CPI was mild enough for the Reserve Bank of Australia to regard policy as sufficiently tight, economist Abhijit Surya said. Surya warned the disinflation path could be uneven; alongside a weak housing market, Capital Economics now expects the RBA’s next move will be a rate cut, though not before H2 2027.

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2026-07-30

The yield on UK 2-year government bonds continued to fall, currently down 9 basis points to 4.365%.

The yield on UK 2-year government bonds continued to fall, currently down 9 basis points to 4.365%.
2026-07-30

Portugal approved a temporary windfall tax on oil exploration and refining companies at Thursday’s cabinet meeting, a government spokesman said. The levy will target profit portions materially above recent averages. The move comes amid fuel-price ris

Portugal approved a temporary windfall tax on oil exploration and refining companies at Thursday’s cabinet meeting, a government spokesman said. The levy will target profit portions materially above recent averages. The move comes amid fuel-price rises linked to the Iran war that have boosted producers’ and refiners’ earnings. Proceeds will fund household and vulnerable-business fuel-cost relief and investments to reduce Portugal’s reliance on fossil fuels. Galp Energia shares fell up to 3.2% on the Lisbon market after the announcement.
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