Regarding the possibility of a US-Iran agreement, Alan Ayr of the Middle East Institute stated, "I don't think it's certain that an agreement will be reached. But if it does, Oman and the GCC countries might agree to a symbolic fee for Iran to pass t

2026-08-03

Regarding the possibility of a US-Iran agreement, Alan Ayr of the Middle East Institute stated, "I don't think it's certain that an agreement will be reached. But if it does, Oman and the GCC countries might agree to a symbolic fee for Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, at least in the short term. As for the US, the Trump administration just wants to cut its losses and extricate itself, so it might agree." Ayr said that Trump would then say that Iran has pledged not to develop nuclear weapons, and then withdraw from the war to attend to other matters. The best, and most realistic, scenario is that, as part of an agreement between Iran and Oman and the GCC countries, Iran will at least gain administrative control of the Strait in the short term.