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[Futures Hotspot Tracking] The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has suddenly cooled down, and the Strait of Hormuz navigation agreement is getting closer. The energy risk premium that previously supported the high price of methanol has been

2026-08-06

[Futures Hotspot Tracking] The geopolitical situation in the Middle East has suddenly cooled down, and the Strait of Hormuz navigation agreement is getting closer. The energy risk premium that previously supported the high price of methanol has been squeezed out significantly. In addition, the operating rate of MTO has fallen to an extremely low level, and the inflection point of port inventory accumulation has been shown. How will the geopolitical cooling reshape the pricing logic of methanol?

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2026-08-05

SpaceX released its first post-IPO results; spending concerns pressured the stock but major brokers stayed generally constructive. Morgan Stanley — Overweight, PT $300; 2027 revenue forecast $102.0bn and expects annual recurring revenue to top $100bn

SpaceX released its first post-IPO results; spending concerns pressured the stock but major brokers stayed generally constructive. Morgan Stanley — Overweight, PT $300; 2027 revenue forecast $102.0bn and expects annual recurring revenue to top $100bn by end‑2026; warns that if compute pricing does not normalize in Q4 2027, AI revenue could add about $42bn versus base forecasts. Wells Fargo — Overweight, PT cut to $215 from $230; management sees ground compute >8GW by 2027 but Wells models execution delays, forecasting +5GW in 2027 (vs +1.5GW in 2026) and a slowdown to +2.5GW in 2028 (prior 4.1GW). Deutsche Bank — Buy, PT $235; raises forecasts on stronger near‑term AI‑driven growth and a faster path to $100bn annual revenue, while noting recent share‑price pressure. Goldman — Buy, PT $220; flags near‑term volatility from lockup expiries and says medium‑term execution topics (Starship cadence, Starlink broadband/mobile expansion, orbital compute) are unlikely to be resolved in months. Citigroup — Buy, PT $200; highlights management accelerating a $1tn revenue target to 2030 or possibly 2029, well above street consensus 2029/2030 of roughly $232bn/$372bn. JP Morgan — Overweight, PT raised to $240 from $225; says SpaceX is leveraging rocket and satellite engineering to scale data‑centers faster than peers, cites partnerships with ANTHROPIC, Google and Reflection AI plus a separate six‑month cloud contract starting in October; estimates long‑run Vera Rubins pricing could reach $30–50/watt versus prior $11–16/watt. UBS — Buy, PT $210; notes Starship progress, expects a Starlink revenue inflection as ~1,000 V3 satellites deploy, narrowing the gap with Grok, and forecasts 3–7GW added next year implying total compute of 5–10GW+ by end‑2027 (vs prior ~4GW).
2026-08-06

Brazilian President Lula said on Aug. 5 the U.S. government's Aug. 4 decision to revoke the visa of Brazil's ambassador to the U.S. was "irresponsible" and poorly considered. Washington revoked the visa in retaliation after Brazil on July 25 refused

Brazilian President Lula said on Aug. 5 the U.S. government's Aug. 4 decision to revoke the visa of Brazil's ambassador to the U.S. was "irresponsible" and poorly considered. Washington revoked the visa in retaliation after Brazil on July 25 refused visas for two senior U.S. State Department officials and has delayed accepting President Trump's nominee for ambassador to Brazil. Brazil suspects the U.S. officials' planned visit was intended to interfere in Brazil's Oct. presidential election; Lula said Brazil will not accept electoral election interference.
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