UBS global research economist Jonathan Pingel says US July inflation YoY is
expected to ease, but the pace should remain well above pre-Iran-conflict levels
and above last year’s rate, implying overall inflation remains elevated despite
recent moderation. UBS expects core inflation to firm after an unexpectedly weak
June reading, led by a rebound in core non-shelter services, with transport,
medical and telecom services prices reverting to normal faster-paced increases.