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Basis (futures minus spot): CSI 300 IF2608 discount 18.92 pts; SSE 50 IH2608 discount 8.39 pts; CSI 500 IC2608 discount 57.91 pts; CSI 1000 IM2608 discount 39.32 pts. Calendar spreads (Aug–Sep): IF2608-2609 +31.0 pts; IH2608-2609 +20.0 pts; IC2608-26

2026-08-12

Basis (futures minus spot): CSI 300 IF2608 discount 18.92 pts; SSE 50 IH2608 discount 8.39 pts; CSI 500 IC2608 discount 57.91 pts; CSI 1000 IM2608 discount 39.32 pts. Calendar spreads (Aug–Sep): IF2608-2609 +31.0 pts; IH2608-2609 +20.0 pts; IC2608-2609 +73.2 pts; IM2608-2609 +77.0 pts.

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2026-08-12

The South Korean KOSPI index rose 4.00% on the day, currently trading at 6599.61 points.

The South Korean KOSPI index rose 4.00% on the day, currently trading at 6599.61 points.
2026-08-12

On August 11, the Buffett Index (CSI 300 market capitalization/GDP) fell to 92.48%, ending a five-day winning streak. The equity risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index, a stock-bond ratio indicator, was 5.25%, fluctuating around 5.2% since July, pla

On August 11, the Buffett Index (CSI 300 market capitalization/GDP) fell to 92.48%, ending a five-day winning streak. The equity risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index, a stock-bond ratio indicator, was 5.25%, fluctuating around 5.2% since July, placing it at the lower end of its fluctuation range since October 2024, suggesting that the current advantage of stocks relative to government bond yields is generally limited. -------- Note: 1. The Buffett Index compares the total market capitalization of the stock market to GDP to determine whether the stock market is currently overvalued. Generally, 70-100% is considered a normal valuation; below this range is considered undervalued, and above is considered overvalued. 2. The risk premium (ERP) of the CSI 300 Index is mainly compared with the returns of the CSI 300 and the yield of government bonds. Statistics from the past 10 years show that this indicator has a clear inverse relationship with the stock index. Every time the stock market is in the bottom area, the risk premium exceeds 6%. That is, when ERP ≥ 6%, the stock market has investment value, while when ERP ≤ 4%, the stock market is often close to or at a stage high, the investment value is low, and there is even a risk of correction.
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