The National Climate Center says equatorial central-to-eastern Pacific sea
surface temperatures are rising and the event is expected to peak around
November–December, forming an ultra-strong El Niño with a high probability of
being the strongest on record. Since summer, China has shown typical El Niño
impacts: eastern China has two north–south rain belts, heavy-rain episodes have
been widespread and locally intense with overlapping affected areas causing
compound disasters, and typhoon activity has been elevated with stronger storms
and prolonged wind-and-rain impacts.
