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Key Economic Data and Events to Watch Today: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 ① 14:00 UK July CPI MoM ② 14:00 UK July Retail Price Index MoM ③ 15:10 ECB President Lagarde Attends Discussion ④ 16:00 Eurozone June Seasonally Adjusted Current Account ⑤ 1

2026-08-19

Key Economic Data and Events to Watch Today: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 ① 14:00 UK July CPI MoM ② 14:00 UK July Retail Price Index MoM ③ 15:10 ECB President Lagarde Attends Discussion ④ 16:00 Eurozone June Seasonally Adjusted Current Account ⑤ 17:00 Eurozone July CPI YoY Final Reading ⑥ 17:00 Eurozone July CPI MoM Final Reading ⑦ 19:00 Kuaishou Holds Earnings Call ⑧ 22:30 US EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending August 14 ⑨ 22:30 US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending August 14 ⑩ 22:30 US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves for the Week Ending August 14 ⑪ 02:00 (Next Day) Federal Reserve Releases Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

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2026-08-19

Rich Privorotsky, head of trading at Goldman Sachs' Delta-one desk, believes that current interest rate pressures are increasingly resembling a bond supply issue. Recent US data has weakened, causing short-term interest rates to fall, but long-term

Rich Privorotsky, head of trading at Goldman Sachs' Delta-one desk, believes that current interest rate pressures are increasingly resembling a bond supply issue. Recent US data has weakened, causing short-term interest rates to fall, but long-term rates remain under pressure because the market needs to absorb a massive sovereign deficit and potentially over $1 trillion in annual AI capital expenditures, the latter increasingly financed through the debt market. His assessment is that the market needs higher real interest rates to absorb such a large bond supply. This also means that even if economic data continues to slow, long-term yields may not decline in tandem, and the yield curve may continue to show a divergence: short-term yields driven by data and central banks, while long-term yields are constrained by fiscal and financing supply. Privorotsky even proposes a more extreme scenario: if long-term yields continue to lose their anchor, the Federal Reserve may need to maintain tightening even with weak economic data to flatten the curve and stabilize long-term interest rate expectations. For the market, the biggest medium-term risk variable remains long-term interest rates, rather than expectations of a single rate cut.
2026-08-19

Indonesia's benchmark stock index turned positive intraday.

Indonesia's benchmark stock index turned positive intraday.
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