1. September 2, 10:00 AM: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Interest Rate Decision: The market expects a second consecutive 25 basis point rate hike to 2.75% in September. ANZ Bank believes the RBNZ is still likely to raise rates again in October.
2. September 2, 9:45 PM: Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision: The market expects the rate to remain unchanged at 2.25% in September. Scotiabank predicts the Bank of Canada will raise the policy rate to 2.75% by the end of 2026 and reach 3% in early 2027.
3. September 10, 8:15 PM: European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision: The market expects a 25 basis point rate hike to 2.50% in September. Sources say the ECB has no intention of signaling further rate hikes after September. 4. September 17, 02:00 (Beijing Time) Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in September is 60.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 39.6%; the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in October is 45.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 44.7%.
5. September 17, 19:00 (Beijing Time) Bank of England Interest Rate Decision
The market expects the benchmark interest rate to remain unchanged at 3.75% for the remainder of the year. LSEG data shows that the market is currently pricing in a cumulative 23 basis point rate hike by the Bank of England by the end of the year.
6. September 18, around 10:00 (Beijing Time) Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
The market expects a 25 basis point rate hike to 1.25% in September. Goldman Sachs predicts further rate hikes in January and July 2027, at which point the policy rate will reach 1.75%.
7. September 24, 15:30 Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision
The market expects the zero interest rate environment to continue until the end of 2027, with the first rate hike possibly not expected until early 2028. Swiss National Bank Governing Council member Tschudin stated that if inflation requires it, the possibility of restarting negative interest rates cannot be ruled out.
8. September 24, 15:30 Swedish Central Bank Interest Rate Decision
The meeting minutes indicate that if inflation continues to exceed expectations, a rate hike is still possible this year. Nomura Securities maintains its forecast of no change in policy rates this year and predicts a rate hike in March 2027.
9. September 29, 12:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision: The market expects the risk of a rate hike in September to increase. Citigroup and ANZ Bank predict that the RBA may raise rates by 25 basis points in November.
(All times are Beijing time)
