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Meng Lei, China equity strategist at UBS Securities, raised his aggregate earnings forecast for A-share companies, now projecting a 15% rise in full-year 2026. He says earnings recovery, incremental fund inflows and the global tech narrative support

2026-09-02

Meng Lei, China equity strategist at UBS Securities, raised his aggregate earnings forecast for A-share companies, now projecting a 15% rise in full-year 2026. He says earnings recovery, incremental fund inflows and the global tech narrative support a continued steady rebound in A-shares this year, but flagged two risks: geopolitics, US Treasury yields and oil-price volatility could dent valuations in rate-sensitive tech; and heavy tech overweighting by public mutual funds may create 'redemptions-on-return-to-breakeven' pressure that constrains the rally.

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2026-09-02

Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said the Iran war and tariffs could lift US Treasury yields and that the pressure is largely unrelated to US fiscal fundamentals. He added markets appear less worried about US policymakers th

Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, said the Iran war and tariffs could lift US Treasury yields and that the pressure is largely unrelated to US fiscal fundamentals. He added markets appear less worried about US policymakers than about Japan and Germany. Global government borrowing costs are rising as investors demand greater compensation for longer-duration debt. Despite Treasury buybacks announced by BESSENT to curb long-end yields, US yields have resumed higher. Market pricing puts the probability of a Fed rate hike at the mid-September meeting at 69%. Slok said rising yields are already transmitting to housing and autos—both highly rate-sensitive—while they do not constrain AI investment.
2026-09-01

Mann, a Bank of England monetary policy committee member, said he hopes to prevent inflation from becoming embedded in next year’s wage growth.

Mann, a Bank of England monetary policy committee member, said he hopes to prevent inflation from becoming embedded in next year’s wage growth.
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