Former Austrian military attaché Wolfgang Putztey stated that the ongoing threat between the US and Iran currently appears to be more of a psychological war, unlikely to lead to large-scale military action in the Middle East. He believes Iran has no intention of directly engaging in war with its Arab neighbors, nor of striking targets in Europe. Overall, the current statements from both sides are more of an information war than a sign of a major military escalation. A key turning point for a US-Iran war will be the November midterm elections, and Trump is unlikely to "give up" on the conflict. After the congressional elections, we will certainly see a decision-making point in some sense. This will determine President Trump's freedom of action and may also mean that he will attempt to take some concrete actions to undermine Iranian resistance.
