US Dollar: 1. US August non-farm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations, with the combined figure for the first two months revised upwards by 55,000. 2. Trump: If the Fed doesn't lower interest rates, the US will halt trade with many countrie

2026-09-07

US Dollar: 1. US August non-farm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations, with the combined figure for the first two months revised upwards by 55,000. 2. Trump: If the Fed doesn't lower interest rates, the US will halt trade with many countries. 3. White House Economic Council Director Hassett: The non-farm payrolls report was very strong, and the Fed's case for maintaining interest rates is quite robust. 4. Citigroup postponed its Fed rate cut forecast, now predicting 25 basis point cuts in June, September, and December 2027. 5. Macquarie moved its Fed rate hike prediction forward from December to September, expecting a 25 basis point hike in the first quarter of next year. 6. Bank of England Governor Bailey: Fed Chairman Warsh is correct in believing there are some risks to forward guidance. Euro: 1. Eurozone retail sales declined in July, with consumer spending weakening. 2. BNP Paribas: The ECB may raise interest rates again in December. 3. Deutsche Bank: Expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with a possible second increase in December. Other: 1. Japan's cabinet reshuffle prioritizes personnel continuity; some key positions are expected to remain unchanged. 2. Japan's foreign exchange reserves saw their largest monthly decline on record in August, mainly due to the sale of US Treasury bonds to implement foreign exchange intervention. 3. India's foreign exchange reserves reached a record high of $740.8 billion as of August 28. 4. Canadian employment unexpectedly declined in August, with public sector layoffs continuing for the third consecutive month. 5. Goldman Sachs: Raised its target for the Asia Pacific ex-Japan index from 1080 points to 1120 points. 6. ANZ: Expects Australian economic momentum to weaken in the coming months as high interest rates continue to dampen demand.